Is Reality Optional?

Apologies to doctor Sowell regarding the Title, but it does apply to his overall thesis.  If you want to know what that is just click here.

This, however, is a little diddy about Climate Apocalypse.

Of the three people who read anything here, I suspect we all have lived through each and every one of the scheduled End of World scenarios beginning with Global Nuclear War.  But for the sake of time, I want to present a bit of what is found, and linked to here, for your consideration.  (H/T to John Nolte.  Full Article HERE.)

1. 1967: Dire Famine Forecast By 1975
2. 1969: Everyone Will Disappear In a Cloud Of Blue Steam By 1989 (1969)
3. 1970: Ice Age By 2000
4. 1970: America Subject to Water Rationing By 1974 and Food Rationing By 1980
5. 1971: New Ice Age Coming By 2020 or 2030
6. 1972: New Ice Age By 2070
7. 1974: Space Satellites Show New Ice Age Coming Fast
8. 1974: Another Ice Age?
9. 1974: Ozone Depletion a ‘Great Peril to Life
10. 1976: Scientific Consensus Planet Cooling, Famines imminent
11. 1980: Acid Rain Kills Life In Lakes
12. 1978: No End in Sight to 30-Year Cooling Trend
13. 1988: Regional Droughts (that never happened) in 1990s
14. 1988: Temperatures in DC Will Hit Record Highs
15. 1988: Maldive Islands will Be Underwater by 2018 (they’re not)
16. 1989: Rising Sea Levels will Obliterate Nations if Nothing Done by 2000
17. 1989: New York City’s West Side Highway Underwater by 2019 (it’s not)
18. 2000: Children Won’t Know what Snow Is
19. 2002: Famine In 10 Years If We Don’t Give Up Eating Fish, Meat, and Dairy
20. 2004: Britain will Be Siberia by 2024
21. 2008: Arctic will Be Ice Free by 2018
22. 2008: Climate Genius Al Gore Predicts Ice-Free Arctic by 2013
23. 2009: Climate Genius Prince Charles Says we Have 96 Months to Save World
24. 2009: UK Prime Minister Says 50 Days to ‘Save The Planet From Catastrophe’
25. 2009: Climate Genius Al Gore Moves 2013 Prediction of Ice-Free Arctic to 2014
26. 2013: Arctic Ice-Free by 2015
27. 2013: Arctic Ice-Free by 2016
28. 2014: Only 500 Days Before ‘Climate Chaos’
29. 1968: Overpopulation Will Spread Worldwide
30. 1970: World Will Use Up All its Natural Resources
31. 1966: Oil Gone in Ten Years
32. 1972: Oil Depleted in 20 Years
33. 1977: Department of Energy Says Oil will Peak in 90s
34. 1980: Peak Oil In 2000
35. 1996: Peak Oil in 2020
36. 2002: Peak Oil in 2010
37. 2005 : Manhattan Underwater by 2015
38. 1970: Urban Citizens Will Require Gas Masks by 1985
39. 1970: Nitrogen buildup Will Make All Land Unusable
40. 1970: Decaying Pollution Will Kill all the Fish
41. 1970s: Killer Bees!

For the record, I believe Climate Changes.  Were we not taught that the Appilacian Mountains were carved out by Glaciers?  Have we not accepted that the Earth has been everything from a hot gaseous ball, molten material and a world of Ice?  The question is do Humans effect it?  The answer is possibly.  But as it stands we cannot define a problem.  And, if you cannot define it then you cannot offer a cogent solution should there be one.  Additionally, if you buy into Humans killing everything they touch then there are only two solutions.  Kill all humans or Kill those humans refusing to change their behaviors in a fashion as we mentioned above has no definition.  But let’s pretend you think such beneficial behavior can be defined, like buying brand new light bulbs instead of using the ones you have until they burn out then buying ones you’re restricted to because you’re too stupid to see the benefit of cost savings over the long run… and it must be imposed upon countless millions of humans right damn now… or else.  Working from that point of view we must do three things.  1.  Convert immediately to Nuclear Power.  2.  Immediately Destroy China.  3.  Immediately Destroy India.  (Russia would be ‘on deck’ as would countless other 3rd World countries.)

Sounds fun.

The truth is that modern Socialists have co-opted the environmental movement and are using Climate Change Horror (No science, just simpathetic scientists who are conviced you’re stupid and they are not.) as a tool to convince useful idiots that the World would be a better placed if everyone just surrendered to Socialism and put them permenantly in control of Everything.  Just ask Patrick Moore, the Founder of Greenpeace.  (Better yet, read his book linked here.)  Socialism is, of course, the ideology of Force and Acceleration, not to mention Class Stasis…Call it what you will, Democratic, Progressive, Liberal, Communist, Fascist or whatever name they want to call themselves once one of the previous is assigned the appropriate stigma.  This is what we are facing, whether it’s being regurgitated by a 14 year old girl from Demark or an octigenarian ex-president of the United States.

That’s the Reality.

Is that an Option?

 

Does Anyone Listen when Socialists say it Out Loud?

George Soros states National Borders are the Obstacle.

“His (Viktor Orban’s) plan treats the protection of national borders as the objective and the refugees as an obstacle,” Mr Soros added. “Our plan treats the protection of refugees as the objective and national borders as the obstacle.”

(Bold and Italics mine.)

If your desire is not for a One World Overreaching and Nepotistic (Crony Socialist) Government Mr. Soros, then why are National Borders an Obstacle?

Bill Gates defends Climate Change as a Building Block of Socialism.

“Even if you have a new energy source that costs the same as today’s and emits no CO2, it will be uncertain compared with what’s tried-and-true and already operating at unbelievable scale and has gotten through all the regulatory problems.

Without a substantial carbon tax, there’s no incentive for innovators or plant buyers to switch.”

(Bold and Italics mine.)

So… Overreaching and Nepotistic Government (Crony Socialism) creates the ‘regulatory problems’, and Bills Gates calls for More Overreaching and Nepotistic Government (Crony Socialism) as the Solution.  It’s the Arsenic Cure.  Your Doctor prescribes a teaspoon of arsenic a day to cure your headaches.  You return to him complaining you feel even worse… so he tells you to double the dosage.

The Same can be, and has been, said repeatedly regarding Obama Care and the Socialization of Medicine here in the United States. And it’s outcome was predicted by all of those who have witnessed Socialism at work World Over.  It’s an Abortion.  The Left is now preparing to Demand yet More Crony Socialism as the ‘Solution’ in the form of Single Payer.  Some of us said repeatedly the ultimate failure of Obama Care was the desired outcome from the beginning in order to set the stage for full Destruction of the Greatest Private Healthcare System in the World.  I continue to believe the ‘Affordable Care Act’ is failing right on schedule.  Jonathan Gruber and Paul Ryan should be proud.

Rich Leftist Progressives will say, just as all Evil People throughout History, what they want to do to you Out Loud.  They write articles, books, pamphlets.  They give speeches and round tables.  They start Foundations designed to promote their forceful desires.  You don’t need to concoct conspiracies…

All you need to do is listen.  All you need to do is pay attention.  All you need to do is makeaneffort.

Yet, we endlessly find ourselves fighting Useful Idiots on both sides of the political aisle distracting us from addressing the truly Sinister among us.

But I suppose to be truly useful one must never recognize they’re an Idiot.

Dang! If only we had a way to talk to each other face to face over the Internet…

Wait a minute… Isn’t there this ‘new’ thing called Video Conferencing?

Over 1700 private jets fly to Davos to discuss Global Warming…

A Response to Elizabeth Warren

In a recent speech Elizabeth Warren outlined ‘What it means to be a Progressive’.

I find it necessary to reprint Ms. Warren’s outline (in italics) followed by my response…

– “We believe that Wall Street needs stronger rules and tougher enforcement, and we’re willing to fight for it.”

Wall Street is not the problem.  The power of our Politicians to grant Wall Street et al. favors and cover them from enforcement is the problem.  Removing that power from our elected representatives is the ONLY answer.  There are no other solutions.

– “We believe in science, and that means that we have a responsibility to protect this Earth.”

We also believe in Science.  However, instead or proposing solutions, that coincidentally benefit our campaign donors and their friends, to problems we cannot define we expect to retain the element of Science that is Rational and Reasoned.  Skepticism is an integral part of Science and must be nurtured lest the scientific method be abandoned and all things to be determined through consensus.  If this were the case the world would still be considered flat.  So why do we want to go down that road again, Ms. Warren?

– “We believe that the Internet shouldn’t be rigged to benefit big corporations, and that means real net neutrality.”

We believe the Internet should be ‘rigged’ to benefit everybody including ‘big corporations’ which is why we expect you to leave it alone.

– “We believe that no one should work full-time and still live in poverty, and that means raising the minimum wage.”

We believe destroying the buying power of those you profess to want to help by raising the minimum wage and subsequently the cost of goods across the board while simultaneously reducing the availability of what goods are left is ignorant and self-destructive.  We believe that the individual has a choice and should retain that choice to exercise the principle of substitution when it comes to employment.  If that individual chooses to work full-time, either directly or through a series of decision-making which demands it, then so be it.  We believe creating new businesses which pay all kinds of wages which are determined by the business owner alone allows for greater choice for the individual to better their lives… if they choose.

– “We believe that fast-food workers deserve a livable wage, and that means that when they take to the picket line, we are proud to fight alongside them.”

We believe you, Ms. Warren, and your cronies simply hate whatever you define as ‘Fast Food’ and want to do everything you can to shut down the readily available nutrition it supplies the American Population.  Your War on Food is well documented and is based on the premise that the American People are too Stupid to make decisions for themselves thus you have undertaken the effort to reduce their options to feed their families.  You should be ashamed, but you have no shame.

– “We believe that students are entitled to get an education without being crushed by debt.”

We believe the no one is entitled to anything.  Using the word entitled revisits a past where only those ‘noble’ people associated with Royalty enjoyed the benefits of their labor allowed by a King.  That aside, when you make something ‘free’ you make it worthless… just as you and your ilk have done with Elementary Education, High School Education and if you get your wish College Education.  (You’ve pretty much already achieved it, just ask graduating Seniors how valuable their Degree is in today’s job market.  For that matter ask a High School Graduate to read… anything… out loud.)

– “We believe that after a lifetime of work, people are entitled to retire with dignity, and that means protecting Social Security, Medicare, and pensions.”

Once again, the word entitled… let’s try ‘deserve’ instead.  We believe that after a lifetime of work people ‘deserve’ the fruits of their decision-making.  If they went to the casino and gambled away all of their earnings they will be subject to whatever safety net We the People, who did not waste our money and planned for retirement, determine they should have.  The only people this part of Ms. Warren’s platform should appeal to are those who do not save and do not plan ahead, and know it.  These are the people who rely on some ambiguous definition of ‘fair’, that is whatever definition benefits them directly, when it comes time to pay the price of their decisions.  They wish to be irresponsible and never be judged for it.  They expect to use the power of Government Force to mortgage the lives of The Responsible instead of living with the consequences of their decisions.  They should be reminded that whatever support they receive from ‘the Government’ is actually a Gift from the rest of us.  I would even find it acceptable that every person who receives subsidies from the Government be compelled, by Government Force, to write Thank You notes to a minimum of 100 taxpayers every year until they become self-sufficient.  The Stigma of taking and the Pride of Producing must be returned to the system.

– “We believe—I can’t believe I have to say this in 2014—we believe in equal pay for equal work.”

I Agree.  And you don’t have to say that in 2014 unless you’re addressing the Current Progressive Administration occupying White House.

– “We believe that equal means equal, and that’s true in marriage, it’s true in the workplace, it’s true in all of America.”

We believe Government should get out of the Marriage Business altogether.  Marriage is between you and your church.  The day’s of some Government Bureaucrat deciding that Blacks shouldn’t marry Whites and only Certain Families can marry certain other Families should be long, long over.  We Don’t Care.  And Frankly, the idea your marriage must be validated by some Government Worker should be nauseating at a minimum.  Get Government’s dirty, fat, bloated, hands off our Marriages.  As far as Government is concerned, Contract Law should do just fine.

– “We believe that immigration has made this country strong and vibrant, and that means reform.”

We believe using words like ‘reform’ are designed to get people to nod their heads in agreement instead of asking for a definition.  We believe that a Liberal Work Visa Program should be initiated while keeping all current immigration requirements in place.  We believe in Tall Fences and Wide Gates.  We believe that those who come here to work should be able to send their money anywhere they wish.  We believe the American People should never be asked to pay welfare for those who are not Citizens of the United States… not… even… asked.  And if those that do choose to come here like the American Experience and want to stay, they must get in line to become a Citizen like every legal immigrant has done before them.  If not, then they can rest assured that as long as they obey our laws, return to their country of origin for two weeks every year and do nothing to foment or agitate Anti-American Sentiment then they will be welcome here to work.  If they choose not to do these things they will not be welcome.  Simple.

– “And we believe that corporations are not people, that women have a right to their bodies. We will overturn Hobby Lobby and we will fight for it. We will fight for it!”

We believe that Corporations are IN FACT people.  A Corporation is created by Human Beings and made up of Human Beings and subsequently creates products enjoyed by Human Beings which make their lives better and more productive or they wouldn’t purchase them.  It is also worth noting that the Humans Beings which make up, and enjoy the benefits of, Corporations are over 50% Women… with Bodies.  The fact that Corporations should not be involved in Anyone’s sex life, women’s or any of the other varied genders, is a point we can all agree.  Which is why Corporations and the Human Beings who make them up should not be expected to pay for Anyone’s sex life.  Easy Enough.  If you want to fight for some inane and poorly thought out line of logic go ahead.  We’ll be here waiting.

And the main tenet of conservatives’ philosophy, according to Warren? “I got mine. The rest of you are on your own.”

We believe it would be more accurate to state: “I’ve got mine, now I can help you get yours if I choose to.”  Absent in our philosophy is Force.  We believe in Choice.  Choice is sacred to Us and every Human Being’s Freedom depends on that Choice being protected at all costs.  I would rather die Poor and Free than Wealthy and Enslaved.  Warren and her Progressive/Socialist ideology bring only Slavery.  So, by her own words, Ms. Warren is rallying the useful idiots to ‘fight for’… Slavery.

This is true of Every Socialist… no matter what they call themselves.

Make a Choice.

We’ve made ours.

A Time for War

We have reached a point that the Only way to Save the World is War.

The White House has made the case for Going to War in their latest Report.

National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory along with the University of California at Irvine calculated that the glaciers’ retreat may have already “reached the point of no return.”  THE POINT OF NO RETURN!

If we don’t Invade China, Mexico, India, Russia and the entirety of Africa, address overpopulation by annihilating their populations and then install Free-Market Capitalism  and Constitutionally Limited Governments while also eradicating Socialist Ideology from the face of the Earth every last human will perish because of Man Made Global Warming… Cooling… Climate Change… Climate Uncertainty… Inconsistency… Incontinence.

These Countries are the highest producers of CO2, the green house gas directly linked by consensus to Man Made Global Warming, and must be stopped Immediately… Forcefully… Violently.

Because of these Psychopathic Murderous Climate Offenders the Antarctic Ice Caps are melting and there is Nothing We can Do… nothing. NOTHING!  NOTHING!

If we don’t do this RIGHT NOW the first Catastrophe will be a 4ft to 10ft, may be even 100ft, rise in Sea Levels!  (Possibly even 1000ft or 2000ft or 1 Million Feet!  We could flood the moon! We just don’t know!)

I say;

Blood for Beaches!

I for one will Not Stand By living on a World that might not, possibly, be exactly in the same temperature range as it is right now… today… not yesterday or even a hundred years ago… but this very moment (I would want a consensus on that).

I Expect it to stay exactly as it is right now!  And I’m willing to kill to keep it that way!  (Not really, But I would absolutely ask those people in those CO2 Producing Countries to Kill Themselves.  Voluntarily.  Oh, and I prefer a temperature range between 75 and 84 degrees and sunny.  Calm winds.  Low Humidity.  No bugs… can we do something about bugs?  I hate bugs.)

Invasion is our only Hope!

The Earth Depends on it!

Polar Bears Depend on it!

Even you depend on it, not that you matter that much.

When we’re Finished with that…

The Sun is Expanding and We will all be Consumed by Fire, because Humans are Evil, Self-Centered, Greedy, Individualists.

Enter Podesta.

(I vote we throw in France to the above World War.  I realize they’re Nuclear, but it would be easy added value.)

Can we at least get a selfie with a Pound Sign followed by something clever scribbled on a piece of paper?

The United States Declares War on China

Yesterday, in preparation for action against China, Secretary of State John Kerry announced the United States possessed direct evidence the Chinese Government has employed a Weapon of Mass Destruction targeting every other country in the World.

Secretary Kerry explained the Chinese have cleverly not used a Nuclear Device but have employed Carbon Dioxide instead.  And, in no uncertain terms China’s use of this Global Warming Weapon will not be tolerated.  He went on to say the U.S. has initiated immediate and decisive action.

Considering China is the World’s largest producer of this Weapon of Mass Destruction it has come as no surprise that a time has come they decided to use it.

In the first troop movements designed to confront and defend this Global Sino Militant Hostility the U.S. has paired up with Indonesian forces.

In response the Chinese have feigned surprise.  While they say they view the Navel actions in Indonesia to be clearly aggressive, they seem stunned by a Declaration of War stating they thought they were simply producing goods American’s wanted not to mention they beleived a Declaration of War required the United States Congress’ approval.  The unnamed Chinese Official also pointed out the United States came in as the Second largest manufacturer of this new CO2 Weapon of Mass Destruction.

A spokesperson for Secretary Kerry replied to these ridiculous assertions stating “Of course Americans continue to expect China to produce the things we want.  Concerning the Declaration of War, we would remind the Chinese that the President of the United States has a pen AND a phone, both of which were made in China!” and “Of Course we know the U.S. is the second largest producer of the new Weapon of Mass Destruction.  After we’re finished with China we have every intention to Declare War on the United States.”  When questioned about Secretary Kerry’s authority to make this Declaration,  his spokesperson said “Secretary Kerry also has a pen and a phone.  In addition, most staffers in the Secretary’s office possess either pens or phones… some even have both.  The Chinese should already be aware of this.”

We’ve contacted the Chinese Consulate for additional comment but local representatives seem befuddled and have said, off the record, they have genuinely no idea what the Secretary of State is talking about.

We contacted a number of high-ranking U.S. officials within the State Department, as well as the Defense Department, and no one we spoke with seemed to understand what Secretary Kerry was talking about either.  But a few did say they we aware, and somewhat concerned, John Kerry had a pen AND a phone.  One Defense Department official said “We do joint Navy exercises with Indonesia every year… what is he talking about?”  One State Department official commented that it was difficult to listen to the Secretary very long as his deep monotone drone and strange intonation put her to sleep after only a few words, but she assured us she would read his comments and get back to us with a comment.

A number of Progressive Groups have come out in Opposition to this Declaration saying; “The Secretary has it all wrong.  Global Warming, while the single most horrific man-made phenomena the planet has ever seen, should only be addressed in Rich Western countries.  Egalitarian Countries like China, Russia, North Korea and Iran need this weapon in order to defend themselves from the Exploitation of Capitalism.  Communal security can only be achieved through MADD.  It’s only Fair.”

We contacted MADD for comment and received a release stating “…officially MADD has no idea what any of these people are saying or what any of it has to do with drunk driving.”

I’m Already Smarter than You…

…so I don’t need to spend any time thinking about stuff. And, I certainly don’t need to consider the possibility that I might be wrong because that would be stupid… and I’m not stupid… you are.

This is the mentality of much of America. You have seen this for yourself.

It hit me when I was looking at a map of the states divided into red and blue representing Republican and Democrat votes for the last election. The very clever caption labeled the Blue states as “America” and the Red states as “Dumbf*ckistan”. I admit, I laughed. But it is a fantastic example of how important it is to Democrats/Liberals/Progressives to tell themselves that they are smarter than you. This delusion is truly the cornerstone of their belief system. It allows them to spend no time thinking while claiming to be the most intelligent person in the room and therefore possessing the moral high-ground in all things.

For those of us who have experienced it we will recognize the following;

I’m smarter than you because I live in… New York, Los Angeles, Portland, Austin, Boston, Maine or any place that has a high density of like-minded Leftists. (In fact, there is a hierarchy of geographic locations which make you instantly brilliant.  It Starts with anywhere OUTSIDE of the United States… Moscow, Paris, London, Rome, Beijing…  Overseas, even for a very brief period, seems to elevate your intelligence above others.  Just a visit appears to count.)

I’m smarter than you because I care more about the environment as demonstrated by… my recycling habit, my hybrid, my bumper stickers, my dreadlocks, my compost pile, my hemp shirt and eating only “organic”.

I’m smarter than you because of my love for animals, except those I don’t like.  You know, the not cute and furry ones.

I’m smarter than you because I believe the existence of humanity, within the United States,  is killing the planet by creating Global Warming… it feels true.

I’m smarter than you because I refuse to debate using reason, and by doing so I “win” every argument.

I’m smarter than you because I listen to my heart… not my brain, which in my case is historically unreliable.

I’m smarter than you because I expect people to cheat on their spouses… and it’s okay.

I’m smarter than you because I went to… Yale, Harvard, Rutgers, Community College etc.  Don’t ask me about my grades though, or try to engage me in your “poorly educated” debate over anything important.

I’m smarter than you because I don’t smoke cigarettes, only marijuana… which is completely different.

I’m smarter than you because I read a lot… kind of… okay, not really but I’ll tell you I do.

I’m smarter than you because I will never verify my “facts”.  And, as long as I don’t check them out they remain “true”.  In the rare instance where I might be wrong… you’re still stupid.  Both have to do with a combination of the uncertainty principle and quantum theory, but you didn’t go to the right school to understand, so never mind.

I’m smarter than you because I’m a “Progressive” which I think means superior, and calling myself that makes me so.

And finally, because I’m smarter than you, I’m better than you.  End of discussion… I win.

So you might as well give up trying to talk to these people… there is no hope, nor should there be an expectation of change. When you base your self-esteem on irrational and irrelevant variables you enjoy an exceptional imperviousness to logic… very Progressive indeed.  It must feel good.

Take a single day and see how many of these folks you can count.  You might be surprised.

(If we could carry around bottles of bourbon this could be a terrific drinking game.  Even better if you didn’t explain to these folks what the game was.  Might be a short day, but I don’t think you’d have to stray too far from home.)

I know this is a repost from 013113… but I just finished watching White House Spokesman Jay Carney and couldn’t help thinking about how stupid I am… and how drunk I should be.

New peer reviewed paper shows only 36% of geoscientists and engineers believe in AGW

Someone sat CNN should get on the air and brief the President!

Watts Up With That?

From Forbes writer James Taylor:

Don’t look now, but maybe a scientific consensus exists concerning global warming after all. Only 36 percent of geoscientists and engineers believe that humans are creating a global warming crisis, according to a survey reported in the peer-reviewed Organization Studies. By contrast, a strong majority of the 1,077 respondents believe that nature is the primary cause of recent global warming and/or that future global warming will not be a very serious problem.

The survey results show geoscientists and engineers hold similar views as meteorologists. Two recent surveys of meteorologists (summarized here and here) revealed similar skepticism of alarmist global warming claims.

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Short Attention Span

I’ve already forgotten:

We’re bankrupt.
We’re printing money, and paying bills with it, because we don’t have any.
We’re playing with the unemployment numbers and the best we can do is call it “crappy” where it was once called “criminal”.
We’ve Socialized Medicine and it’s costing all of us more money than ever before… but Socialism always works, so no problem.
We’ve sent Assault Rifles to Mexican Drug Cartels and it’s OK.
We have a new “unspoken” policy of allowing our Diplomats overseas to be Murdered.
We have completely given up all Rights to Privacy and apparently condone the NSA spying on us.
We believe the IRS should be able to target Americans based on their political beliefs.
We agree that we need a Domestic Military, called DHS, designed to apply force within our borders.
We enjoy being groped at the airport by the individuals who could not qualify to be police officers.
We continue to believe the housing market collapse was caused by “greedy” banks.
We think there are still people starving in the United States while facing an Obesity Epidemic.
We’ve decided that what used to be called welfare is actually an earned benefit.
We think a consensus is an appropriate replacement for the scientific method.

We believe it when our politicians tell us they will do something.

What was I talking about?

How “Science” Counts Bears

Please, please, please read this.
It’s applicable to almost everything Scientists predict or “guess” at.
It should leave you with the question… If “guessing” or “assuming” is required, then why not guess or assume the outcome which best fits consciously, or unconsciously, desired outcome?
Remember, Bias is everywhere. It is unavoidable.
Where it should not be is in Science. But when your next years funding depends on a certain outcome…

Watts Up With That?

Guest essay by Jim Steele, director emeritus, San Francisco State University

The Inuit claim “it is the time of the most polar bears.” By synthesizing their community’s observations they have demonstrated a greater accuracy counting Bowhead whales and polar bears than the models of credentialed scientists. To estimate correctly, it takes a village. In contrast the “mark and recapture” study, which claimed the polar bears along South Beaufort Sea were victims of catastrophic global warming and threatened with extinction, relied on the subjective decisions of a handful of modelers.

In mark and recapture studies, the estimate of population abundance is skewed by the estimate of survival. For example, acknowledging the great uncertainty in his calculations of survival, in his earlier studies polar beat expert Steven Amstrup reported three different population estimates for bears along the South Beaufort Sea. If he assumed the adult bears had an 82% chance of surviving…

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