Update: [I recognize that this 3rd repost-repost could be considered “sour grapes”… it isn’t. I will vote for this guy if it comes to that. My point here is only that Mitt should have taken a big Blue state with at least 51% regardless of who was in the race save John McCain. I will say the same of California. This victory is not a detour from the road to a brokered convention.]
Mitt Romney cannot be happy about the Illinois GOP Primary.
Mitt Romney cannot be happy about the Nevada GOP Primary.
Mitt Romney cannot be happy about the Florida GOP Primary.
was not about the delegates so much as it was about momentum. Mitt really needed over 50% of the vote in order to try to make some kind of definitive statement regarding the permanence of his front-runner validation of his “chosen nominee” status. After the tie in Iowa and the loss in S.C. and the southern states he must be getting concerned. He knows that all that has to happen is Gingrich or Santorum to run out of money, drop out, and those votes (the majority at least) will migrate to “anybody but mitt”.
The next two weeks will be interesting indeed.
Note: Even Karl Rove is trying to create a distinction without a difference in qualifying the meaning of “brokered” vs. “contested” convention. I would remind the admittedly brilliant political guru (like him or not) that a “contested” convention immediately becomes a “brokered” convention the moment anyone other than (in addition to…) the current slate of candidates is up for consideration. It doesn’t mean that Mitt or Newt or Rick will not end up with the nod… The fact that Rove is spending time splitting hairs is evidence that this eventuality is highly likely.